Happy New Year!

You may have heard that Labor Day is the new New Year’s Day? It’s true. The schedule is packed, and the pace of life picks up in a way that would make January envious. For us, it is no different. We have a brisk schedule of meetings, conferences, and professional presentations that keep us informed and thinking about how to enhance the experience of our clients.

Recent Financial Headlines

In all the bustle, you may have picked up on some recent financial headlines such as:

  • Interest rates are sharply down, then sharply up.
  • A recession is imminent, then it’s not
  • Oil prices spike on Saudi Arabia attacks
  • Gold is up almost 17% this year

During times when the market seems contrary, I find it helpful to find perspective and avoid the day-to-day movements.  Here are some late-Summer evening reads that I found interesting:

The Long-Term Odds Say Stay Invested – Real Clear Markets

Michael Cannivet of RealClear Markets reminds us of the emotional factor when looking at the markets and “not to overact to short-term market noise”. Read more about his take on recent performance and forecasting.

Assessing the Value of Advice – Vanguard

A whitepaper outlining Vanguard’s data-centric approach to calculating the value of financial advisors, considering portfolio, financial, and emotional outcomes. No time to digest the full paper? Check out the summary on page 10 that provides a neat wrap-up.

U.S. Bond Yields Made In Germany – Ed Yardeni

Ed points out the interesting parallel between the rising of the 10-year German government bond yield and the rising U.S. Treasury bond yields.

History Says Stocks Can Perform Well After Oil Shocks- Ciovacco Capital

A good point made about realistic expectations amid media blitzes. “Having realistic expectations about a wide range of scenarios, including those on the bearish side of the ledger, can help us avoid emotional surprises.”

Enjoy the first days of Autumn and we look forward to sharing some research and planning ideas with you in the weeks to come.

Morton Brown Family Wealth LLC is a registered investment adviser. This information is not provided as legal or tax advice but for information purposes only. Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk and therefore can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product (including the investments and/or investment strategies recommended or undertaken by Morton Brown Family Wealth (“Morton Brown”), or any non-investment related content, made reference to directly or indirectly in this newsletter will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), be suitable for your portfolio or individual situation, or prove successful. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions and/or applicable laws, the content may no longer be reflective of current opinions or positions. Moreover, you should not assume that any discussion or information contained in this newsletter serves as the receipt of, or as a substitute for, personalized investment advice from Morton Brown. Please remember to contact Morton Brown, in writing, if there are any changes in your personal/financial situation or investment objectives for the purpose of reviewing, evaluating, or revising our previous recommendations and/or services, or if you would like to impose, add, or to modify any reasonable restrictions to our investment advisory services. Morton Brown shall continue to rely on the accuracy of the information that you have provided. Morton Brown is neither a law firm, nor a certified public accounting firm, and no portion of the content should be construed as legal or accounting advice. A copy of Morton Brown’s current written disclosure Brochure discussing our advisory services and fees continues to remain available on our disclosures webpage. Please Note: Please advise us if you have not been receiving account statements (at least quarterly) from the account custodian.